When Ontario Premier Doug Ford announced the current stay-at-home order on April 7, he said the province’s COVID-19 crisis had become worse than predicted.
“The capacity at the ICUs and these variants have taken off even beyond what they told us,” the premier said. “And the second I found out yesterday, immediately I asked them to start writing up the orders.”
But modelling presented two months earlier signalled the trouble to come. And on April 1, the week before Ford’s announcement, projections showed a new stay-at-home order would be crucial to getting the increasingly devastating third wave under control.
