In recent weeks, a seeming contradiction has emerged: States in the U.S. that have had little to no COVID-19 restrictions have gotten case counts under control, while in Canada there are provinces still struggling with a third wave despite having never fully reopened.
It has the potential to become fuel for anti-lockdown protesters: If those states have opened up and brought case counts down, why can’t we? Do lockdowns not work?
Lockdowns slow an outbreak but vaccination seems key.
Professor Explains Flaw in Many Models Used for COVID-19 Lockdown Policies
Economics professor Doug Allen wanted to know why so many early models used to create COVID-19 lockdown policies turned out to be highly incorrect. What he found was that a great majority were based on false assumptions and “tended to over-estimate the benefits and under-estimate the costs.” He found it troubling that policies such as total lockdowns were based on those models.
