The latest forecasts predict a sharp decline in the population. One reason is that too few children are being born. Immigration, even in greater numbers, will not offset the trend.
The figure 1.35 should set off alarm bells for policymakers: on average, each woman in Germany now has just 1.35 children — a record low, and far below the 2.1 needed to keep the population stable. These latest calculations from the Federal Statistical Office underscore the scale of the demographic challenge.
In 2025, about 650,000 children were born in Germany, down from around 677,000 the year before. In both years, around one million people died. By December 31, 2025, the population stood at approximately 83.5 million — 100,000 fewer than at the end of 2024.
