
Donald J. Trump posted a colorful graphic on social media this week, suggesting that he was headed for victory in the presidential election.
The graphic showed that Mr. Trump had a 64 percent chance of defeating Vice President Kamala Harris next month — a much rosier picture for him than the polls that indicate the election remains a tossup. Mr. Trump’s post was liked more than 10,000 times, as his fans responded with emojis of raised fists and Americans flags.
The election odds cited by Mr. Trump came from a crypto-powered gambling website called Polymarket. Using digital currencies, gamblers on Polymarket have wagered more than $100 million on the outcome of the presidential race, turning the site into the internet betting phenomenon of the 2024 election.

After surviving an abortive party revolt this week and with his personal popularity ratings in free fall, Canada’s Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is looking for ways to regain control of the narrative. And he may have just found one in the form of a major policy U-turn pledging to cut the country’s immigration targets. Flanked by immigration minister Marc Miller, Trudeau announced a 21% cut to next year’s permanent resident arrivals, from 500,000 to 395,000. This is to be followed by further cuts to 380,000 in 2026 and 







