The 2024 Presidential Election Really Isn’t That Close

Citing conventional wisdom or an “appeal to authority” will reach out and bite you every time. The proverbial “appeal to authority” in an argument only works when the “authority” is credible.

The conventional wisdom that the 2024 presidential race is razor-close is based on polls. Frankly, pollsters themselves are warning us not to trust their work.

“There are a lot of sh***y polls out there,” said John Anzalone, who has done polling work for Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, and Barack Obama. And, added Greg Strimple, a Republican pollster, many hardcore Donald Trump voters aren’t responding to polls at all, especially online polls.

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Adam Pankratz: I pity the pro-Hamas students marching this week

They are on the losing side

One year after the October 7 massacre by Hamas in Israel, protesters chanting anti-Israel slogans stormed and smashed buildings at McGill, one of Canada’s premier universities. Later that same evening, on the other side of the country in Vancouver, pro-Hamas demonstrators burned Canadian flags on the steps of the Vancouver Art Gallery in downtown.

I am not optimistic.

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Poll: Two-Thirds of Americans Support Deportations for Illegal Migrants

An Ipsos poll says 66 percent of Americans support the deportation of illegal migrants, which is a central promise of President Donald Trump’s 2024 campaign.

The September 20-22 poll of 1,29 adults shows that 90 percent of Republicans and 68 percent of independents support the popular policy of “deporting immigrants who are in the country illegally.” The policy is also favored by 47 percent of Democrats.

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Muslims convicted in U.S. of violating Iran sanctions, adopt new identities in Ontario

Brothers convicted in the United States of helping Iran evade sanctions were allowed to legally adopt new identities in Ontario, records released to Global News show.

Amin and Arash Yousefijam were sentenced in Michigan in the fall of 2021 for using shell companies to illegally export sensitive manufacturing equipment to Iran, where they were born.

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“Far-right” activists fundraising for people jailed over UK riots

Far-right activists are trying to raise funds for people jailed over their roles in the summer riots, describing them as “political prisoners”, in an attempt to generate support by giving money to their families.

More than £14,000 has been raised by a leading group, which has been promoting the start of its “gifting” of funds to families of “political prisoners”.

One of the leaders of Patriotic Alternative (PA) recently met a teenager in HMP Hull who had been jailed for racially aggravated harassment during the disturbances, his wife told supporters.


OMG! Money is being given to families of people involved in riots whom far-right groups are calling ‘political prisoners’

Two tiered policing is not a myth in the UK.

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LAU: Numbers don’t lie — under Trudeau crime up significantly in Toronto and across Canada

It’s no secret that politicians often cherry-pick statistics instead of telling the full story when the full story doesn’t look great for them. For example, amid concerns of rising auto theft and crime, the federal Liberals recently highlighted that auto theft is down 17% versus last year. But this statement deserves scrutiny.

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America’s french fry king sounds an alarm

Want a fry with that?

Americans are revolting against McDonald’s and fast-food chains. That’s hurting french fry suppliers like Lamb Weston.

Lamb Weston, the largest producer of french fries in North America and a major supplier to fast-food chains, restaurants and grocery stores, is closing a production plant in Washington state. The company announced last week that it would lay off nearly 400 employees, or 4% of its workforce, and temporarily cut production lines in response to slowing customer demand.

Customer traffic to fast-food chains dropped 2% last quarter and 3% the previous quarter compared to the same time last year, according to Lamb Weston.

I don’t frequent fast food chains much. The 5 Guys near me closed down, but I noticed Apache burgers have been downsized when I indulged a few weeks ago.

18 bucks USD for a McD’s meal? That’s insane.

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John Ivison: Flag-burning Islamists in our streets would kill us with our own tolerance

I have spent the better part of 30 years in journalism misattributing to Voltaire the idea that I would defend free speech to the death, even if I disapproved of what was being said (it turns out it was a summary of Voltaire’s views by his biographer, Evelyn Beatrice Hall).

Yet, events since October 7th have revealed that there are, or should be, limits; that people cannot say things that incite real harm to others or society at large.

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Picture of Stickman acting on behalf of Hezbollah backs ceasefire

Hezbollah backs ceasefire attempts as Israel continues to target its leadership

Hezbollah leader

Hezbollah said it supported efforts to secure a ceasefire with Israel as the IDF continued to target its top leadership and the two armies sharply increased their bombardments.

“After the issue of a ceasefire takes shape, and once diplomacy can achieve it, all of the other details can be discussed and decisions can be taken,” Hezbollah deputy leader Naim Qassem said on Tuesday. “If the enemy [Israel] continues its war, then the battlefield will decide.”

 

h/t Marc

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Pierre Poilievre says Israel preventing Iran from getting nuclear weapons would be a ‘gift’ to humanity

OTTAWA — Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre says it would be a “gift” for Israel to prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons, a statement he made when asked about American opposition to an Israeli attack on Iranian nuclear sites.

Outside the House of Commons on Tuesday, Poilievre sidestepped a question about whether an Israeli strike against nuclear facilities in Iran could lead to a direct war between the adversaries. U.S. President Joe Biden, who like Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has urged restraint to prevent the conflict from intensifying further, told reporters last week that he does not support an attack on Iran’s nuclear sites.

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Afghan national in US on Special Immigrant Visa accused of plotting ISIS-inspired Election Day terror attack

Harris voter

An Afghan national allowed into the US shortly after the Harris-Biden administration’s chaotic withdrawal from Afghanistan was charged Tuesday with plotting an ISIS-inspired Election Day terror attack.

Nasir Ahmad Tawhedi, 27, was living in Oklahoma City on a Special Immigrant Visa as he took steps to stockpile AK-47 rifles and ammunition to carry out an attack on US soil “in the name of ISIS,” according to the Justice Department.

h/t kiki9

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Business association demands bail reform to restore public safety on urban streets

Businesses in cities and main streets across the country say a “humanitarian crisis is playing out in” Canada’s communities and they want the federal government to act swiftly to tackle the crime, addiction and social issues they say are hurting businesses and downtowns.

The issues, business groups say, have been on the rise in recent years but were made significantly worse by the pandemic.

“Repeat offenders are significant drivers of crime and the current bail system does not protect Canadians or small businesses,” Kate Fenske, chair of International Downtown Association Canada (IDA Canada), which represents urban business districts across Canada, said Tuesday.

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