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Conservatives lead in popular support, but Liberals would still eke out a diminished minority win today: poll analysis

OTTAWA — The Conservative party has taken the lead in nationwide federal election campaign polling, and is closing the gap with the Liberals in Ontario, according to an analysis by Vox Pop Labs.

And while the analysis also suggests the Liberals would still win the most seats if the election were held now, it forecasts that they would fall short of the number needed to form a majority government.

Top-line numbers aggregated in The Signal by Vox Pop Labs suggest Erin O’Toole’s Conservatives now have the support of 34.5 per cent of voters, compared to 33.5 per cent for Justin Trudeau’s Liberals.

The New Democrats are sitting at 19.8 per cent support, a level that has remained virtually unchanged over the first 10 days of campaigning.

A weakened minority? As good as a loss certainly. Would that be enough for the LPC to dump Prince Airhead? I doubt it.

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