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Ukraine can win this war – 50 days on and Ukraine is still standing strong.

On 25 February, the day after Russia launched its invasion of Ukraine, the Russian warship Moskva opened fire on Snake Island, a strategically important rocky outcrop in the Black Sea. Facing imminent capture, Snake Island’s hopelessly outgunned Ukrainian defenders told the Moskva to ‘Go fuck yourself’.

At the time, this brief, hopelessly uneven battle seemed to capture in miniature outside observers’ grim expectations of the conflict. Ukrainians would certainly be brave and defiant. But, before the might of the Russian army, navy and airforce, their resistance was bound to be futile. This was a war that Russia was going to win, and it was probably going to do so easily and swiftly.

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