An invasion through Belarus would accelerate negotiations
Looking ahead, there are only two possible major military moves for Russia. Following the mobilisation of 300,000 reservists last autumn, Putin’s army is now larger than when it invaded last February. Then, the aim was not to start a war but to end it, with a quick victory forecast by Russian and US Intelligence, both equally intoxicated by the false promise of “post-kinetic” warfare; this would combine electronic propaganda with cyber-attacks on everything from military headquarters to civilian infrastructures. Generals who had never fought against patriotic Europeans but only against Middle Eastern sectarians, if they had fought at all, who considered tanks old-fashioned and had limitless respect for “information warfare”, heavily influenced the totally wrong estimates that misled both Biden and Putin.
#Ukraine: Two Russian tanks and what may have been two UR-77 mine clearing vehicles (very difficult to tell since both were nuked) were destroyed by the Ukrainian army north of Volodymyrivka near Vuhledar, #Donetsk Oblast. pic.twitter.com/S6ILqTCX3W
— 🇺🇦 Ukraine Weapons Tracker (@UAWeapons) February 10, 2023
