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Trudeau’s Deepening Political Decline

Is luck running out for Justin Trudeau? After years of defying political gravity, the laws of physics, and his own errors, might be beginning to catch up with the Canadian leader.

According to an Eksos poll released on September 24, Trudeau’s Liberals are trailing new opposition leader Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives by 19 points, 42 percent to 23 percent – the largest margin reported for any party in any poll in 18 years. While that result may be something of an outlier, the polling average on 338.com, a Canadian polling aggregator, has the Conservatives ahead by 9 percent and set to win a majority for the first time in 12 years.

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