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Pierre Poilievre is running a good but very frustrating campaign

Given the wild trajectory of federal politics since the start of the year, with the Liberals rising an eye-popping 25 percentage points in the polls, you’d think Pierre Poilievre was running a fault-filled campaign. Talk last week of internal disarray at his campaign HQ fuelled the perception.

But it is hardly the case. A bad campaign would have resulted in fading and falling support for the Conservatives. But the party’s high support numbers have barely changed since the months before the campaign began. They are still hovering in the 40-per-cent neighbourhood, which is often enough to form a majority government.

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