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Élie Cantin-Nantel: The polls vs. the people: Notes on a bipolar Conservative campaign

The 2025 Conservative campaign was one that featured multiple realities.

In legacy media TV studios and editorial pages, you have a punditry class convinced Pierre Poilievre is about to lose, amidst piles of polls showing Mark Carney’s Liberals ahead.

But in farmers’ fields, warehouses, and factories across the country, Poilievre held historic rallies in the thousands, with attendees convinced something big is about to happen.

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