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Will India and Pakistan go to war? We assess the risk of a nuclear exchange

Last week, militants killed 26 civilians, mostly tourists, in Kashmir, the disputed region between India and Pakistan.

The killing of 26 civilians would be bad news anywhere in the world, but in Kashmir, it could be far worse. Tensions between the two nations have always been high, ever since they were split up in the partitioning of British India in 1947, but in recent years they have increased still further.

Kashmir is often at the centre of those tensions. Although formally part of India, it has been granted special, largely autonomous status since partition, but in 2019 India effectively ended that, leading Pakistan to downgrade diplomatic relations and suspend trade.

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