Matt Gurney: Let’s open with something of a confession. Or maybe a strategic repositioning of the shield I use to cover my bottom from being called out for bad predictions. In the immediate aftermath of the election, I would have said, with no reservations, that I thought Pierre Poilievre was safe as Conservative leader. I still think that, but now only on balance — I think he is very likely to remain as leader, but small doubts have entered my mind. We can talk about why in a minute, but first, what do you think of the big question — is he safe?
