New analysis from the Conservative Party warns that nearly four in ten newly built homes in the UK by 2030 may be required to accommodate incoming migrants. Drawing on projections from the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), the report estimates that net migration between 2026 and 2030 will reach almost 1.2 million people, creating demand for roughly 500,000 additional homes.
The OBR projects that around 1.34 million new homes will be delivered over the same period, meaning that 37.1% of all housing could be allocated to new arrivals, with the proportion rising to nearly 40% by 2030.
