Can Putin survive a Chechen civil war?

Chechen leader Ramzan Kadyrov is Putin’s ally

A bloody battle would distract Russia from Ukraine

Is Chechnya preparing for a bloody succession battle? According to reports, Ramzan Kadyrov, the ruthless leader of Russia’s Chechnya region, is suffering from a fatal pancreas condition. Although rumours about his health have cropped up repeatedly in recent years, this time things do not look good. Neither the Kremlin nor its counterpart in Grozny have been able to dispel the sense that Chechnya may be about to face a turning point — one that may provide an opportunity for Vladimir Putin’s opponents to get the better of Russia in Ukraine.

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Ukrainian colonels arrested over ‘Russian plot to assassinate Zelensky’

Ukraine has detained two security officials allegedly involved in a plot co-ordinated by Russia to assassinate President Zelensky, Kyiv’s state security service has announced.

Two colonels in the State Guard of Ukraine, which protects top officials, were detained on suspicion of enacting the plan drawn up by Russia’s Federal Security Service (FSB), a statement said.

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Saboteur Scare: Russia Will Target Europe, Intel Agencies Warn

European intelligence agencies are claiming that Russia is actively preparing various acts of sabotage, either directly or through proxies, of Europe’s infrastructure, including through detonation, arson, or other forms of damage.

If accurate, this would mean Russia would be expanding the scope (as well as type) of its foreign operations in Europe.

According to gathered intel, Moscow would be unconcerned about potential civilian casualties, the Financial Times reports. Thus far, the Kremlin has not released a statement to address the allegation.

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How draft dodgers undermine Ukraine’s plea for help

Imagine the reaction in a NATO state if their soldiers were sent to fight for a country whose own young men are too feckless to take up arms against their invader

Emmanuel Macron warned recently that Europe is in “mortal danger.” The French president said that Russia cannot be allowed to win its war with Ukraine. He reiterated the idea he first floated in February of sending soldiers to Ukraine, saying: “I’m not ruling anything out, because we are facing someone who is not ruling anything out.” Macron’s comments come amid reports of an upsurge in draft dodgers in Ukraine. They are frightened because their government has launched a crackdown on men avoiding the draft.

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Russia Is Pounding Eastern Ukraine’s Industrial Heartland

Ukraine awaits US aid, but plans to take back lost territory have been shelved.

In the coming weeks, Vladimir Putin will be throwing all he’s got against a stretch of high ground between the Russian occupied town of Bahkmut and the city of Kramatorsk to gain complete control of Ukraine’s Donbass region and score a decisive, if limited, victory over the government in Kyiv. At least two Russian divisions with close air support are relentlessly attacking Ukrainian fortifications in Chasiv Yar, a ridge town dominating the Siverskyi Donetsk river valley that contains an industrial triangle of cities serving as Ukraine’s logistical hub and forward headquarters.

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Cubans lured to Russian army by high pay and passports

Russia has likely been recruiting Cuban nationals to fight in its army in Ukraine, research by the BBC has shown.

In September and October 2023, passport details belonging to over 200 Cubans who allegedly joined the Russian army were leaked online by a pro-Ukrainian platform called InformNapalm.

The passport details were obtained, the site said, by hacking the emails of a Russian military recruitment officer in Tula, south of Moscow.

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North Korean weapons are killing Ukrainians. The implications are far bigger

On 2 January, a young Ukrainian weapons inspector, Khrystyna Kimachuk, got word that an unusual-looking missile had crashed into a building in the city of Kharkiv. She began calling her contacts in the Ukrainian military, desperate to get her hands on it. Within a week, she had the mangled debris splayed out in front of her at a secure location in the capital Kyiv.

She began taking it apart and photographing every piece, including the screws and computer chips smaller than her fingernails. She could tell almost immediately this was not a Russian missile, but her challenge was to prove it.

Are we sleepwalking … Note that I can’t verify the following report, Only Macron seems to know for sure.

France sends combat troops to Ukraine battlefront

France has sent its first troops officially to Ukraine. They have been deployed in support of the Ukrainian 54th Independent Mechanized Brigade in Slavyansk. The French soldiers are drawn from France’s 3rd Infantry Regiment, which is one of the main elements of France’s Foreign Legion (Légion étrangère).

In 2022 France had a number of Ukrainians and Russians in the Foreign Legion. They were allowed to leave the Legion and, in the case of the Ukrainians, return to Ukraine to join Ukrainian forces. It isn’t clear if the Russians returned home.

h/t DS

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Ukraine is running out of battlefield options

Earlier this month, Ukraine’s military intelligence chief Kyrilo Budanov warned that from mid-May onwards, the country will face a battlefield situation that is “difficult” but “not catastrophic”. As Russian troops exploit February’s costly victory in Avdiivka by pushing westwards with increasing speed and success, Ukraine’s best hope is that he is correct.

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Russians flock to see captured British armoured vehicles in Moscow propaganda exhibition

Russians flocked to see the bullet-riddled wreck of a British Husky armoured vehicle that featured in a display in Moscow alongside other Nato equipment captured in Ukraine.

State television proclaimed that the star of the show was an American M1 Abrams tank, which it said had been taken out by Russian forces in eastern Ukraine using a guided rocket and kamikaze drones.

Clambering over the tank holding his microphone, a Channel One correspondent told viewers that the tank had been billed in the United States as an indestructible “wonder weapon”.

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‘Nonsense’: heroes of Mariupol denied US weapons over neo-Nazi past

Ukraine’s Azov Brigade, which held out against the invading Russians for three months in 2022, has moved on from its far-right origins, its men say

The elite Ukrainian unit that spearheaded the defence of Mariupol against Russian forces has been excluded from the United States’ latest military aid package because of its historical links to right-wing extremists.

Azov Regiment fighters held out against overwhelming odds for three months in 2022. Their ferocious defence of the southern port city, culminating in a last stand at the Azovstal steelworks, came to symbolise Ukraine’s determination to resist the Russian invasion.

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Behind enemy lines, Ukraine is busy setting Russia ablaze

Sometimes the metaphors write themselves. As Putin purportedly seeks to showcase the illusion of Russian strength by parading a captured British Saxon armoured personnel carrier from the 1970s in Red Square – donated to Ukraine in 2015 from mothballed British stocks – Ukrainian saboteurs are deep behind Russian lines actually doing the business.

Whereas Russia is desperate to display ‘destroyed’ western kit, Ukraine is hard at work eroding Russian capacity and, crucially, hitting Moscow where it hurts – inside its own borders. The news today that two railway lines in Russia have been destroyed is a clear example of an evolving strategy designed to hurt a security-obsessed Putin and degrade Moscow’s ability to wage war.

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Ukraine allies ‘have not delivered what they promised,’ NATO chief Stoltenberg says in Kyiv

NATO countries have failed to deliver in good time what they promised to Ukraine, the alliance’s chief said Monday, as Russia rushes to exploit its battlefield advantages before Kyiv’s depleted forces get more Western military supplies in the war that has lasted more than two years.

NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg said that “serious delays in support have meant serious consequences on the battlefield” for Ukraine.

“NATO allies have not delivered what they promised,” Stoltenberg said at a news conference in Kyiv with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, referring to delays by the U.S. and Europe in sending weapons and ammunition.

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These Canadians made the ultimate sacrifice in Ukraine — in relative anonymity

Two Quebecers who joined the war in Ukraine to make a difference in the world and in their own lives died in February and March.

Alain Derasp was a 49-year-old father of four from Chicoutimi who served 26 years in the Canadian military as a member of the Royal 22nd Regiment, with tours in Afghanistan and Bosnia-Herzegovina. He volunteered for two years in Ukraine, teaching first-aid training to soldiers. He died of a heart attack in late February after contracting pneumonia.

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