The Liberals’ margin of error on polls

This week, supporters of the Conservative Party showed up at campaign event in Brampton, Ont., sporting T-shirts and carrying banners that read, “Do you believe the polls?” The next day, reporters were asking Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre if he believes the polls – and whether he would accept the outcome of the election on April 28.

Mr. Poilievre had an unambiguous response. “Yes,” he said. That is the right one-word answer, with no following ifs, ands or buts.


Puts the slanderous Carney in his place.

I sense there may exist a silent support for Poilievre that the pollsters are missing. As with Trump support they see no need to go public.

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President Donald J. Trump Is About to ‘Roll’ the Communist Chinese

History’s great Benjamin Franklin is credited with saying, “Nothing is certain except death and taxes.”

I would paraphrase Franklin’s wise words with this update: “Nothing is certain except these people always being wrong: former Congressman Joe Walsh…MSNBC’s prince of darkness Lawrence O’Donnell…and virtually any cast member on The View.”


I wonder what the US knows about Carney and the Liberal Party’s collusion with Red China.

It likely explains the lack of tariff relief that other nations currently enjoy.

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Conrad Black: A Mark Carney win would be a disaster for Canada

Canada is perilously close to the greatest electoral disaster in its history. A Liberal victory would commit the country to the deliberate pursuit of comparative poverty to reduce Canada’s minimal contribution to the fear of a rise in the world’s temperature due to carbon use. This is insane and must not happen.

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Liberals’ lead could change if domestic concerns surpass U.S. tensions, says pundits, pollster

The Liberals have been boosted in the polls because of public concern about how Canada should deal with the United States, but a shift in focus to more domestic policy issues could make the outcome of the election much harder to predict, say lobbyists and pundits.

“The way I see it is, these last two weeks have been marred and had the cloud of [U.S. President Donald] Trump hanging over the election, and I would argue that the rubber hasn’t hit the road yet,” said Andrea Sarkic, a public affairs counsellor for Compass Rose Group and a former Conservative staffer.

WTF?

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Crescent rising over Russia: the numbers that keep Putin awake

Canadian director Denys Arcand’s film “The Decline of the American” Empire opens with a professor, played by Rémy Girard, telling his students: “Three things are important in history: numbers, numbers, and numbers again”.

Khomeini knew about numbers and in 1989 he wrote a letter to Communist Party Secretary Mikhail Gorbachev in which the ayatollah invited the Soviet leader to embrace Islam to “fill the void in your system.”

The Soviet Union fell, Khomeini and Gorbachev died, but that letter seems to have found its way thanks to numbers.

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Butler Resident Charged With Threatening to Murder Trump

The Trump hate train continues to go off the rails.

Today, 32-year-old Shawn Monper was charged by the Department of Justice for making threats to assault and murder President Donald Trump, U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement agents, and other U.S. officials.

Monper is a Butler, Pennsylvania resident — the same place where an attempt was made to kill President Trump while on the campaign trail last year in July.

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Canada is more conservative than politicians think

Finally, some good news for Canada’s Conservative party. For the first time since the federal election was announced, a poll last week showed them in the lead, and polls over the weekend show them closing in on the Liberal party. They’re not where they were, but it’s progress.

In early January, the much-loathed Trudeau was stepping down, both Liberals and the New Democrats were highly unpopular, and the Conservatives, with a no-nonsense economic platform were considered a shoo-in for the next election.

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Trump’s Tariff Fire Works

Despite the great deal of sound and fury that it has generated, it is perhaps too early to assess the lasting impact of President Donald Trump’s latest fireworks on tariffs.

Some things, however, are certain.

Contrary to assertions by talking heads on the small screen, we are not heading for a global trade war.

True, the US is the world’s biggest economy and ranks second as a trading power. But its share of world trade hovers around 12 percent, or under 10 percent of its GDP. The remaining 88 percent of world trade by 192 nations won’t be immediately affected.

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‘You Don’t Have To Patronize Me’: Maher Battles WashPost’s Rogin on His Trump Meeting

HBO Real Time host Bill Maher recapped his recent meeting with President Donald Trump on Friday’s show where he emphasized the importance of talking to people even if you disagree with them. He also claimed that Trump, in private, is quite personable as contrasted with the more combative public persona that people either love or hate. However, Washington Post foreign policy columnist Josh Rogin was not a fan as he showered Maher with praise despite claiming he fell “into the trap,” leading Maher to shoot back “you don’t have to patronize me, dude.”


This is the full clip

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Business leaders, ex-bank heads throw support behind Poilievre with open letter

A number of prominent business leaders are throwing their support behind Pierre Poilievre in the upcoming federal election because they feel his Conservative Party will best handle Canada’s slowing economic growth.

The group of more than 30 current and past executives includes Fairfax Financial CEO Prem Watsa, Canaccord Genuity CEO Dan Daviau, former Royal Bank of Canada CEO Anthony Fell and former Scotiabank CEO Brian Porter.

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Nato’s ‘drone wall’ that would see Russia’s invasion coming

Germany is seeking to build a “drone wall” along Nato’s eastern border with Russia to help defend its Baltic allies from a future invasion.

Friedrich Merz, the incoming chancellor, has vowed to rearm Germany in response to the threat from Russia, passing historic reforms last month that unlock potentially unlimited spending on defence projects.

The German arms industry is now discussing the idea of building a fleet of drones – or a “drone wall” – to defend all or parts of Nato’s eastern flank.

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Pierre Poilievre’s path to victory runs through the GTA. Here are some races to watch

Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre has not moved to the GTA, it just seems that way as he goes door to door with candidates, searching for a pathway to the Prime Minister’s Office.

After three elections in which Halton, Durham, York and Peel voters elected enough Liberal MPs to be dubbed the “Greater Trudeau Area,” opinion polls as recent as January suggested the seat-rich 905 belt was ready to swing back to Conservative domination.

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