A panel of superforecasters considers the likelihood of an imminent global conflict
We’ve been lucky, for the last 70 or so years, to live through an essentially unprecedented period of world peace. It doesn’t necessarily feel like that, because there are always enough small wars and conflicts to fill 24-hour news channels – but there have been no direct conflicts between major powers since the Korean War of 1950-1953.
Related: Beijing issues protest after Japan signals that it would join US to defend Taiwan in case of Chinese attack
