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With John Tory Out, Bradford is statistically tied with Chow in Toronto Mayoral Election

For the better part of a year, Toronto politics has been suspended in a kind of waiting game.

Would John Tory try to come back? Would he test whether voters were willing to give him another shot? That question is now settled. He announced yesterday that is not running in October 2026.

With that uncertainty gone, the mayoral race snaps into clearer focus. What looked like a potentially crowded contest now looks increasingly like a head-to-head between Olivia Chow and Brad Bradford. And based on polling we conducted in late January as part of our Toronto Omnibus survey, I see a competitive race that Bradford can win.

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