Here’s why Pierre Poilievre will be watching Quebec’s provincial election campaign

MONTREAL—It has been more than a decade since Quebec voters have handed a party a second governing mandate. Over that period, the Parti Québécois, the Liberals and the Coalition Avenir Québec have all had a turn at the helm.

On Oct. 3, Premier François Legault is hoping to break that pattern. With the campaign officially underway as of this weekend, here are five early takes on the state of play in Quebec …

Doing well in BC …

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Trudeau vows to protect the French in Canada

New census data showing a decline in French in Canada is “extremely concerning”, the prime minister said on Friday, but added that Ottawa still has a responsibility to protect linguistic minorities across the country, including in Quebec.

During a visit to Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine, Qué., Trudeau reacted to data released this week indicating that the proportion of Canadians who speak primarily French at home has fallen in nearly all provinces and territories. In Quebec, the percentage of people who speak mainly French at home fell to 77.5% in 2021 from 82.3% 20 years earlier.

Trudeau said that while the data is shocking, “we could see this in the last couple of years.”

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Quebec firms will have much lower carbon pricing costs than those in other provinces until well into the 2030’s

The unfairnesses in carbon pricing

According to its advocates, carbon pricing measures have many advantages. They are simple, equitably applied, economically efficient and ultimately fairer than intrusive regulation and subsidy measures. Somewhere between the theory and the design of Canada’s climate policy, however, the theory got lost. Quebec’s “cap-and-trade” system is a prime example.

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Quebec nationalism’s latest surge: it did not begin here, and it will not end here

So here we are. Having previously passed Bill 21, effectively barring members of certain religious minorities from employment across much of the public sector, the government of Quebec has lately passed Bill 96. Amongst other charms, the law prohibits the use of any language but French in the province’s workplaces, large or small, public or private, provincially regulated or federal, in the enforcement of which the language police are now authorized to compel the production of any document, in whatever form, on whatever device, without a warrant.

That both these bills offend violently against the Charter of Rights and the Constitution of Canada (Bill 96 also purports to amend the Constitution, unilaterally, to declare Quebec a “nation” whose “common language” is French) is not even contested: The Legault government conceded as much when it inserted a provision in each bill invoking the notwithstanding clause, insulating it from the protection of not only the federal Charter but also Quebec’s own Charter of Human Rights and Freedoms.

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Trudeau government to ship Roxham Road illegal border crossers to Ontario

The Trudeau government has approved a plan requested by Quebec to ship asylum claimants who illegally cross into Canada via Roxham Road into Ontario cities such as Niagara Falls and Ottawa.

Quebec authorities have pleaded with Ottawa in recent months to alleviate the stress the influx of migrants has caused for the province.

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Our fraying constitutional order

In a recent podcast interview, my American host asked me to comment on whether Canada constituted a nation, in the substantive sense. Beyond platitudes such as a shared commitment to multiculturalism, general good government, and a thin conception of liberty, there is not much there there, I reflected. No, there isn’t really a singular Canadian nation, I answered.

But I was oversimplifying: the fact is that Canada is a nation that contains many nations. The compromises of federalism as set out in the Constitution were specifically designed to accommodate the vast regional and cultural differences across our equally vast land and, for the most part, have held up well.

However, proposals in Alberta and Quebec are starting to nip at the fabric of our constitutional order. Both provinces are, as one academic recently put it, apparently treating the Constitution as a “buffet that one can pick and choose from”, rather than a blueprint for how power flows in a state.

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Quebec premier accused of stoking immigration fears, lacking empathy toward newcomers, you know all the usual crap hurled at anyone who dares question Canada’s suicidal immigration policy

Quebec’s premier is being accused of stoking fears about newcomers after he gave a recent speech warning Quebec risks turning into Louisiana if the province doesn’t have more control over immigration.

Francois Legault told delegates at his party’s convention on the weekend that the survival of the Quebec nation depended on the federal government granting Quebec more power over who can immigrate to the province.

The premier even warned that Quebec risked becoming like the state of Louisiana – formerly under the control of France – where only a fraction of the population still speaks French.

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English Montreal School Board to launch legal challenge against Quebec French-language law

Another group has announced it will launch a legal challenge against Quebec’s controversial language reform law.

Bill 96 was passed in the provincial legislature earlier this week.

The English Montreal School Board (EMSB) announced late Thursday evening it has hired a legal firm to help it contest the validity of Bill 96, An Act Respecting French, the official and common language of Quebec.

This feels like something Indonesia would do, not a modern parliamentary democracy. Whoops sorry, I meant parliamentary dictatorship.

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Quebec’s Bill 96 is the result of making Anglos a scapegoat

Combined with several provisions of Bill 96, recent events raise a legitimate concern that English-speaking Quebecers may be on the verge of becoming second-class citizens. Indeed, in the view of a majority of French-speaking Québécois, or at least of the politicians and commentators who shape the majority view, the “Anglos” do not have rights anymore, but only “privileges,” as asserted by Bloc Québécois Leader Yves-François Blanchet.

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“Moderna will build a state-of-the-art manufacturing facility in Quebec to deliver made-in-Canada vaccines. When completed, this new facility will be able to produce up to 100 million mRNA vaccine doses annually.”

“COVID-19 vaccines saved lives and got Canadians back to doing the things they love.

Today’s announcement means that Canadian workers and Canadian innovation will play a key role in keeping our communities safe now and in the future. It also means hundreds of new, well-paying jobs as we recover from this pandemic and build a better future for everyone.”

The Rt. Hon. Justin Trudeau, Prime Minister of Canada

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